Lucid and Nikola, two of the most highly anticipated electric vehicle (EV) startups, have had a rocky start to 2023. Both companies have struggled to meet delivery expectations, and their Q4 revenue fell short of projections.
Lucid produced 3,493 Air sedans in Q4 but only delivered 1,932, a sign that the company is facing a demand challenge. Meanwhile, Nikola produced just 133 electric trucks and delivered only 20 to dealers. These struggles underscore the challenges that young automakers face in a highly competitive and rapidly evolving market.
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According to Mark Fields, the former CEO of Ford, these challenges are only going to get tougher. As established automakers like Mercedes-Benz enter the premium EV market, the competition will intensify, making it even more difficult for startups like Lucid and Nikola to succeed.
Fields suggests that some of these companies may ultimately be acquired by larger players in the industry. “One thing is for sure – these companies will continue to need capital to grow their businesses. Some will succeed and some will have to be acquired by some bigger players,” he said.
In contrast to Lucid and Nikola, Tesla has managed to establish itself as a leader in the EV market. Fields attributes this success to the company’s decision to vertically integrate its business, allowing it to be “the master of its own destiny.” Additionally, Tesla’s brand, which was built on being a first mover in the industry, continues to command a premium.
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“At the moment, every automaker still sees Tesla as the leader,” Fields said. However, as more established players enter the market, it remains to be seen whether Tesla can maintain its dominance.
The struggles of Lucid and Nikola serve as a reminder that success in the EV market is far from guaranteed. As the industry continues to evolve, it will be interesting to see which companies are able to navigate the challenges and emerge as leaders.